Belarus is already taken. Fully.
It benefits Russia to keep Belarus as a phoney, pretend sovereign state because its another vote and voice in international matters, it lends legitimacy to their arguments when they’re at a stage like the UN and fighting with whomever, to have a bunch of warlord states voting alongside them.
Treaties dont matter when your enemy doesnt respect them,
Russias conditions for peace are surrender, and surrender is death. The Russian army has from day 1, displayed that their intention is ethnic cleansing.
No, Trumps team will insist on going forward with the deal they arranged with Vlad. Europe (which includes Ukraine) will say fuck that, and team Trump will then use it as political ammo to justifiy more tarriffs and more energy into the Asia pivot. IE they will say they’re pulling out and leaving Russia to have its fun.
something something, Alpha country, Beta country, Having cards, not having cards.
In all seriousness. these are people who have been parroting the same Kremlin lies that were confidentley asserting that Ukraine was already defeated like 1 month in and that everything after that was just prolonged suffering. These people are either Cowards, or Complicit. or both.
An incredible amoutn of the population from Donetsk and Lugansk is already dead.
European intervention is looking like the only option now. because America is a captured state. there are only bad options now. and Europe is more than a year behind reality,
they sat on their hands hoping Kamala would win, and that they’d be allowed to continue offshoring their own defense matters to America, she didnt
so they sat on their hands hoping Trump wouldn’t be who everyone thought he would be, He was exactly what everyone thought he’d be.
so they sat on their hands hoping he would change with time. He didn’t, he accelerated his agenda and threw kerosone on the world by Parroting Putin, advocating Bibi, and Bombing Iran.
So they sat on their hands hoping he’d have a change of heart. And he rolled out the red carpet for the most honored guest, VVP.
Trump is an Ally of the Russian Mafia, Article 5 is already useless in terms of America, America wont go to war with Russia even if a KAB landed in Berlin tonight. Europe ought to consider their choices ahead.
Option 1 > Stop Bleating at America, Stop insisting that America Negotiate on Ukraines behalf in a specific way, and show some fucking teeth, and prepare for war.
Option 2 > Keep bleating at America, and accept Russia controls your politics now, and probably watch as your alliance disintegrates in 3 years when a military conflict breaks out in Latvia and no one wants to go to war with Russia.
Ukraine doesn’t have to worry about Russian troops intercepting Aid trans and planes coming from the west. (although they do a good job at stirring up locals into doing things like farmer protests blocking aid)
Central america on the other hand, Has the entire pacific ocean, and the US Navy to deal with. if the US was off the rails on fascist-invade-your-neighbors mode. the navy would absolutely be blockading the region and sinking any ship that came near it that tried to break the blockade.
I’m sorry, your analogy just doesnt work. yes there would be some attempts at international interference and shitpot stirring in that scenario, but Mexico is in a very poor position to defend itself if they were ever invaded. The Americans biggest problem would be internal protest and internal violence.
Its not that. Its the fact that these people hsve entire services dedicated to protecting their lifestyle and security.
And the public security is also geared to disproportionately protect them as well.
Short answer. The elite have private security of their own. And they are allied with rich politicians who control the police and military. They’ve got a shitload of guns at their disposal.
Cool bro. the CIA has nothing to do with the domestic problem in America.
they’re not talking about mexico or the cartels militarily defeating or resisting america, they’re talking about america, thats a tinderbox that people feel is teetering on civil war for a long time now, will tear itself apart if a regime like MAGA starts shooting wars with its own neighbors.
the American people may have a deep distaste of the cartels, and want them dead, but they dont want Mexico attacked and blown up like they want for Iran, North Korea, China… and for a while until the gangsters came to power, Russia. There’s no appetite for war. and opposition to Trump / Fascists know that war is a permanent seizure of power.
enough people saw what happened in Star Wars. people may be vapid and consumed by pop culture, but they’re not totally stupid
the US invading -anyone- who isn’t already seen as an enemy of the nation by the PEOPLE of the nation, will trigger an actual shooting civil war.
and by that I mean, there aren’t very many countries that the majority of American people truly see as an enemy, so thats basically Russia, Iran, North Korea, to some extent China. and a bunch of countries from the middle east , central america and southeast asia who have varying histories of things vaguely “islamist, terrorist, or communist”
Mexico, and Literal Allies like Canada and other NATO countries, are not on that list. starting a war with someone not on that list, will be a signal to everyone in America who isn’t a brown nosing collaborator, that their own government is rogue and has to be toppled.
Ukraine has the benefit of bordering a powerful alliance that is giving them weapons, Mexico does not.
Guatemala, Belize, and boats from Cuba are nowhere near the same thing as getting literal trainloads of heavy weapons and fighting vehicles through Poland.
comparing Mexican/Cartel resistance to an aggressive America, is not even in the same conversation as the bumbling fuckwit Russian invasion of Europe.
those black jobs make a lot more sense.
Openly talking about it and framing it like a military invasion is just dumbshit, caveman, jingoistic, sports team levels of bravado. Authoritarian and Fascist strongmen just doing authoritarian fascist strongman things.
They are both monumentally, America-ending levels of stupid.
Starting an armed conflict with either country would result in the dissolution of NATO (Europe would cut all ties with America militarily), have thousands of soldiers taken as POWs by European forces at the Euro bases, Result in massive “terrorist” attacks across America because Mexican or Canadian people (or sympathisers) are invisible in American Society, (Just look to how Russia got torn apart trying to occupy Ukraine because they couldnt tell friend from foe due to language and culture similarities)
and it would be a clear and concrete signal to anyone who dissents the Trump regime that The Republican party and Trump are enemies of the state, and they’d have no option left but to kill or be killed.
the world is already a tinderbox thats close to blowing thanks to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Israel trying to settle every score it can before Bibi loses power, and various other shitstorms, and you’re questioning which of the two grenades will cause a smaller explosion of said tinderbox?
Do you not realize that a world that America starts invading Mexico or Canada, is a world that America is on the same side as Russia?
behind the curtains, there’s already plenty to suggest that they are two allied mafias conspiring to divide and conquer.
I stand corrected, people being dragged away in handcuffs to be deported to places they will probably die in, is fucking hilarious, but making fun of plastic surgery is radical liberal brainrot. got it Barbie!
No, they’d just end up in Lugansk, killing Ukrainians. Like all the other foreign nationals who migrated to Russia out of some dumbass belief Russia was a “conservative moral bastion” only to get thrown in the army like cattle
its gone beyond protesting, protesting is active, Im not so sure about China, but Russia is so far gone in it’s forever war mentality that its gone straight into thoughtcrime now.
Dissent
Argument doesn’t compute with these people. They believe in realpolotik and “realism”
Aka. Russia has nukes. So they get to do what they want. So does America